The word needs to go out, if you cheat in this election we will prosecute you to the fullest extent of the law and request maximum sentences. If you cheat, you'd better make sure you win, not just the state race, but the war. Donald is freaking and you can see why with this story and electoral college map, there is a very good chance many of the pink states on the map by go for Joe by November, some red ones too IMHO. Donald can cheat and dispute a close election, disputing a landslide will get him nowhere, but he will try nonetheless. Down ballot could be very bad for the GOP senate with 23 seats up for grabs and their strongholds have suddenly come into play. If Nancy impeaches Trump this summer it will put even greater heat and pressure on them to carry his water while the folks back home die like flies from his incompetence. Ya want as many seats as ya can get in the senate too.
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There are many more unknowns than knowns nearly five months prior to Election Day 2020.
www.cnn.com
Road to 270: CNN's debut Electoral College map for 2020
(CNN)There are many more unknowns than knowns nearly five months prior to
Election Day 2020.
The knowns at this point are pretty simple. It is going to be a race between the incumbent, President
Donald Trump and his Democratic opponent, former Vice President
Joe Biden.
The other known is that American politics has been at some of its most polarized levels in history during the course of the Trump presidency, which means the bulk of the red vs. blue map is likely to remain unchanged from four years ago (or even 20 years ago for that matter).
Nearly everything about the 2020 campaign has currently been upended by a combination of crises. The
coronavirus pandemic has unleashed a public health crisis with more than 110,000 US deaths and left economic wreckage in its wake. Added to that is the unrest across the country following the death of George Floyd, which has sparked a dramatic shift in public sentiment that the protests for racial justice are justified and a rise in the importance of race relations as a voting issue this fall. It would be a fool's errand for anyone to be boldly predicting from this vantage point in June what the electorate will be seeking in November.
However, we thought now is as good a time as any to publish a baseline state-of-play electoral map upon which all of those great unknowns will play out and alter as the months between now and the election unfold.
Build your own road to 270 electoral votes with CNN's interactive map.
As has become the norm in American presidential politics, the race to 270 electoral votes is almost certain to come down to a handful of battleground states. So, don't let all those national polls showing a big advantage for Joe Biden cloud your vision too much. Yes, at this current snapshot in time, it is clear that Biden has the advantage both nationally and in many key battleground states. But the idea that this race is all wrapped up in June seems a bit far-fetched. It's been more than 30 years since a winning presidential candidate won more than 400 electoral votes, so blowout presidential elections are hard to come by.
Trump's campaign war chest is one of the clearest structural advantages he currently has in the race. The Trump campaign ended April with nearly twice as much cash on hand as the Biden campaign. The former vice president has been working to close that gap as he attempts to consolidate all corners of the party following a competitive primary season that ended in March. In a clear signal, the Trump campaign is currently playing more defense than offense. It is rapidly increasing its advertising spending in what are expected to be the most contested battleground states rather than focusing an increase in resources on expanding the playing field. The Biden campaign hopes to seize on its current momentum by expanding the map and creating multiple pathways to 270 electoral votes while making Trump defend some states that have been reliably red in recent cycles.
The unknowns are pretty clear at this point too.
What will the continued impact of the coronavirus pandemic be this fall when voters train their minds on the choices before them for the presidency? Will the country be in the midst of a resurgence of a spreading virus? Will the economic fallout from the spring shutdown have been contained by the fall? Will a recovery be underway in a way most Americans can experience? Will the country's assessment of how Trump performed in the handling of the crisis and the economic aftermath be as it is now? Will Biden be perceived as an acceptable alternative for Americans who are displeased with the country's current course? Will the method by which votes are cast and counted be dramatically different than ever before for many voters? And will the reenergized movement for racial justice in America as evidenced by the protests across the country in the wake of George Floyd's death translate into a voter surge in November?
Presidential reelection campaigns traditionally serve as a referendum on the incumbent. As a candidate and as President, Trump has consistently disrupted political rules and norms. He will need to find a way to defy that historical precedent and turn the contest into a choice -- made more of a challenge given the decades Biden has spent in the public life, including eight years as vice president.
Visit CNN's Election Center for full coverage of the 2020 race.
This raises another unknown. Has the window closed for the President and his team to have a clean dominating shot at defining Biden in a negative light for voters? The plan was to follow in the footsteps of the George W. Bush and Barack Obama reelection campaigns and do so immediately following the primary season, when Biden was low on cash and not yet fully staffed up and in fighting form for a general election campaign. That time has certainly passed, but the question remains whether the Trump team will be able to cut through all the events that have dominated the public's consciousness and simply drive the news cycle each and every day with a negative narrative framed around Biden. The President and his campaign have already previewed lots of potential avenues they intend to pursue, but how those attacks land is still far from clear.
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