Long-Range Climate Outlook & 2010 Forecast
Region: North America
Comments on El Nino -
My forecast for the coming El Nino to arrive in mid-2009 will soon be verified by the appearance of rising sea temperatures in the eastern Pacific Ocean. Astronomic indications confirm that the new celestial cycles, mainly those of the Sun, and the planets in April/May 2009, clearly reveal that a new ENSO was on the horizon.
NOAA and other global climatologists continue to see rising temperatures in the eastern Pacific, now about 1-degree Celsius above normal, with receding trade winds. This is a standard sign of a coming ENSO.
See Updates On El Nino- http://www.elnino.noaa.gov/ani.htmlSome
forecasters had been wary in 2008-09 as competing computer models that forecast climate conditions differed; as some indicated an El Nino is on the way, and others continue to show neutral ENSO conditions. Many forecasts still are not certain of the strength and length of the coming ENSO. However, many forecasters will have to revise their outlooks sooner rather than later.
From my long-range astronomical calculations for North America, I've forecasted 2010-11 to be a very strong El Nino year. This is caused mainly by the activity of the Sun, which will undergo an historic solar maximum that will bring to an end the 36-year global warming phase that began in the year 1980 while opening a new global cooling phase that will get underway by the year 2017
In the meantime, I am also forecasting that the years of late 2009 to 2016 will feature some of the world's wildest climate and weather events of the early 21st century that, by the mid-2010s, will have seen the close of the current 36-year phase of global warming that Earth has experienced since 1980.
By 2010, in my estimation, we will have entered the 30th year of Solar-forced global warming. These last six-to-seven-and-a-half years, from 2010 to about 2017, will likely feature some of the warmest global temperatures recorded in the entire 36th year global warming cycle.
This cycle, like that of global cooling on its way in the decades ahead - is directly caused by the Sun.The next 6-7 years, from this outlook, shows the next several winters will be brief with the seasons showing three (3) early and short seasons, and one extended long season.For example, I see 2010 seasonally this way for North America - these are general guidelines from my astronomical calculations on our nation's long-range climate next year -
*Winter 2010 - early - active, done by March 2010
*Spring 2010- early - active, flooding, warmer than normal. My biggest concern is the potential flooding of the Mississippi in early Spring 2010. For more, see my forecast below.
*Summer 2010 - early, hotter than normal, but a short summer. It seems to zip right by, coming early in May 2010 like it did - so that after the first 10 days of August, one should be able to detect a "late September-like chill" in the air in the August nights. By mid-September, for certain, brisk autumn like days, with cooler than average temperatures felt across a third of the country. It appears that summer isn't going to stick around for long, and there are wetter months ahead, more than usual for the strange fall season of 2010 just ahead.
**Fall 2010 - the season starts off with what "appears" to be another early Indian summer, but then Fall turns into a very wet, extended, and warmer-than-normal season w/ tropical air, torrential rains. This is going to be a longer-than-normal fall season that extends right into January 2011.By this time in fall 2010, the Mid-Atlantic should be well within the throes of El Nino, with above average rainfall, and warmer than average temperatures.
The earlier brisk air of August/September 2010 will by the end of September give way to warmer than average temperatures, and increased precipitation. Rains continue through October, November, December 2010 and into early January 2011. By the time the fall season is over, it will be early February 2011, and winter will have arrived two months later than normal.
From my calculations, fall like conditions, but much wetter and warmer than normal will last for nearly six months (beginning in August 2010 and ending by early February 2011.) Precipitation of rains in autumn 2010 are above average, as is the temperature, for the eastern third of the nation.
Make best friends with all your rain gear, and umbrellas next fall. It's going to be a longer stretch of warm and wet than most people will have expected. Enjoy that previous summer because it's going to be a rather quick summer, and you will need all the sunshine you can soak up before the long wet and stormy fall of 2010.
Region: North America
Comments on El Nino -
My forecast for the coming El Nino to arrive in mid-2009 will soon be verified by the appearance of rising sea temperatures in the eastern Pacific Ocean. Astronomic indications confirm that the new celestial cycles, mainly those of the Sun, and the planets in April/May 2009, clearly reveal that a new ENSO was on the horizon.
NOAA and other global climatologists continue to see rising temperatures in the eastern Pacific, now about 1-degree Celsius above normal, with receding trade winds. This is a standard sign of a coming ENSO.
See Updates On El Nino- http://www.elnino.noaa.gov/ani.htmlSome
forecasters had been wary in 2008-09 as competing computer models that forecast climate conditions differed; as some indicated an El Nino is on the way, and others continue to show neutral ENSO conditions. Many forecasts still are not certain of the strength and length of the coming ENSO. However, many forecasters will have to revise their outlooks sooner rather than later.
From my long-range astronomical calculations for North America, I've forecasted 2010-11 to be a very strong El Nino year. This is caused mainly by the activity of the Sun, which will undergo an historic solar maximum that will bring to an end the 36-year global warming phase that began in the year 1980 while opening a new global cooling phase that will get underway by the year 2017
In the meantime, I am also forecasting that the years of late 2009 to 2016 will feature some of the world's wildest climate and weather events of the early 21st century that, by the mid-2010s, will have seen the close of the current 36-year phase of global warming that Earth has experienced since 1980.
By 2010, in my estimation, we will have entered the 30th year of Solar-forced global warming. These last six-to-seven-and-a-half years, from 2010 to about 2017, will likely feature some of the warmest global temperatures recorded in the entire 36th year global warming cycle.
This cycle, like that of global cooling on its way in the decades ahead - is directly caused by the Sun.The next 6-7 years, from this outlook, shows the next several winters will be brief with the seasons showing three (3) early and short seasons, and one extended long season.For example, I see 2010 seasonally this way for North America - these are general guidelines from my astronomical calculations on our nation's long-range climate next year -
*Winter 2010 - early - active, done by March 2010
*Spring 2010- early - active, flooding, warmer than normal. My biggest concern is the potential flooding of the Mississippi in early Spring 2010. For more, see my forecast below.
*Summer 2010 - early, hotter than normal, but a short summer. It seems to zip right by, coming early in May 2010 like it did - so that after the first 10 days of August, one should be able to detect a "late September-like chill" in the air in the August nights. By mid-September, for certain, brisk autumn like days, with cooler than average temperatures felt across a third of the country. It appears that summer isn't going to stick around for long, and there are wetter months ahead, more than usual for the strange fall season of 2010 just ahead.
**Fall 2010 - the season starts off with what "appears" to be another early Indian summer, but then Fall turns into a very wet, extended, and warmer-than-normal season w/ tropical air, torrential rains. This is going to be a longer-than-normal fall season that extends right into January 2011.By this time in fall 2010, the Mid-Atlantic should be well within the throes of El Nino, with above average rainfall, and warmer than average temperatures.
The earlier brisk air of August/September 2010 will by the end of September give way to warmer than average temperatures, and increased precipitation. Rains continue through October, November, December 2010 and into early January 2011. By the time the fall season is over, it will be early February 2011, and winter will have arrived two months later than normal.
From my calculations, fall like conditions, but much wetter and warmer than normal will last for nearly six months (beginning in August 2010 and ending by early February 2011.) Precipitation of rains in autumn 2010 are above average, as is the temperature, for the eastern third of the nation.
Make best friends with all your rain gear, and umbrellas next fall. It's going to be a longer stretch of warm and wet than most people will have expected. Enjoy that previous summer because it's going to be a rather quick summer, and you will need all the sunshine you can soak up before the long wet and stormy fall of 2010.
