vostok
Well-Known Member
China has launched naval exercises in the area of the Paracel Islands on July 5. China is expected to fight for the affiliation of the islands at the Court of Arbitration in the Hague.
The adequate lawsuit was filed by the Philippine government in 2015. Vietnam, Brunei, Malaysia and Taiwan also have their claims for the disputed islands. China believes that the case of the disputed islands was initiated with the support of the United States. China refuses to recognize the jurisdiction of The Hague in this matter. According to the China Daily newspaper, it is naive to believe that China will swallow the bitter pill of humiliation.
On July 5, China's English-language publication The Global Times published an article that said that Washington's interference in territorial disputes in the South China Sea could lead to a military confrontation. The article admits the inability of the Chinese army to resist the military power of the United States. However, the Chinese are ready to make the Americans "pay a very high price" if they try to influence the outcome of the dispute over the islands.
(http://www.pravdareport.com/news/world/asia/05-07-2016/134929-china_usa_war-0/)
Recommendations
- U.S. and Chinese political leaders alike should have military options other than immediate strikes to destroy opposing forces.
- U.S. leaders should have the means to confer with Chinese leaders and contain a conflict before it gets out of hand.
- The United States should guard against automaticity in implementing immediate attacks on Chinese A2AD and have plans and means to prevent hostilities from becoming severe. Establishing "fail safe" arrangements will guarantee definitive, informed political approval for military operations.
- The United States should reduce the effect of Chinese A2AD by investing in more-survivable force platforms (e.g., submarines) and in counter-A2AD (e.g., theater missiles).
- The United States should conduct contingency planning with key allies, especially Japan.
- The United States should ensure that the Chinese are specifically aware of the potential for catastrophic results even if a war is not lost militarily.
- The United States should improve its ability to sustain intense military operations.
- U.S. leaders should develop options to deny China access to war-critical commodities and technologies in the event of war.
- The United States should undertake measures to mitigate the interruption of critical products from China.
- Additionally, the U.S. Army should invest in land-based A2AD capabilities, encourage and enable East Asian partners to mount strong defense, improve interoperability with partners (especially Japan), and contribute to the expansion and deepening of Sino-U.S. military-to-military understanding and cooperation to reduce dangers of misperception and miscalculation.
(http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-08-09/heres-how-us-china-war-could-play-out)