Unclebaldrick
Well-Known Member
Lol, Brexit.
Trump Demands Full Embargo of China
- Thread starter Jimdamick
- Start date
UncleBuck
Well-Known Member
MoodyShoes
Well-Known Member
All great responses, and I'll double check my spelling next time, but does anyone actually have a sensible answer as to why Donald Trump will be out of the presidency in 1.5 years or is this just conjecture, a la 2016?
Like I say, it doesn't matter to me, but from an outsiders point of view it seems very unlikely he will be going anywhere.
The bookies tell the same story.
UncleBuck
Well-Known Member
What was your last username before you got banned?
MoodyShoes
Well-Known Member
The reason I ask is I'd like to put a bet on. If I had trusted my instincts in 2016 I could have got 16/1 on Trump winning the election. Kinda annoying.
If anyone with an above room temperature IQ can give me some sensible information as to why they think he'll be out of the White House it'd be much appreciated.
At present he's at 2/1, which I still think is a good bet this early on. Those odds will inevitably shorten soon.
If anyone with an above room temperature IQ can give me some sensible information as to why they think he'll be out of the White House it'd be much appreciated.
At present he's at 2/1, which I still think is a good bet this early on. Those odds will inevitably shorten soon.
UncleBuck
Well-Known Member
Hey clown shoes, how bad did you cry when you got banned ?
TacoMac
Well-Known Member
He's the lowest rated president in living memory with an average of 38.8% approval.
No president has ever won reelection with an abysmal rating like that.
Ever.
topcat
Well-Known Member
Bet your life savings on Trump. Then, take out a large loan and bet that, too. He's a shoe-in.
MoodyShoes
Well-Known Member
Just one click on Google completely dispels that as utter nonsense. In fact, I can't find one president with a higher approval at its lowest since Kennedy.
Look for yourself, unless Wikipedia is racist and lying to everyone.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_approval_rating
G W Bush was at 25% at his lowest approval rating, His dad wasn't much better and neither was Carter.
In fact, if you're saying Trump is at 38.8% at the moment, that's higher than Obamas lowest rating at 38% in May 2014.
I haven't done the analysis of whether there have been lower approval ratings going into an election, but the idea that he has the lowest overall approval ratings in living memory is simply a falsehood.
I don't know why there is an insistence on spreading misinformation on forums, but it really does no one any good at all.
MoodyShoes
Well-Known Member
DIY-HP-LED
Well-Known Member
With Russian help I'm sure, his base of treasonous racists won't mind at all. Racism Trumps patriotism for some folks and they're too stupid to hide the fact that they are idiots and suckers.
DIY-HP-LED
Well-Known Member
No way, Trump is the worst president in American history and he proves it every day.
MoodyShoes
Well-Known Member
So everyone who votes for Trump is racist?
That's a bit of a stretch. Im not American but do spend quite a bit of time over the pond and I'm pretty sure that 50% of the electorate aren't bigots.
Although I could be wrong. Personally I'm only really interested in the odds.
TacoMac
Well-Known Member
So you're saying Trump is only favored by idiots?
We already knew that.
It's yet another reason he's going to lose.
UncleBuck
Well-Known Member
DIY-HP-LED
Well-Known Member
About 80% of whites are, around 40+% of the electorate, there is no other reason to support Trump other than racism. His ideology changes by the minute and from the beginning of a sentence to the end of it, the only constants are the hatred and his nose up Putin's arse. I guess ya like toddlers in cages without vaccines or proper care, massive corruption, incompetence, abuse of office and constant constitutional violations. Did I mention damage to alliances, democratic norms, national security, general embarrassment and humiliation for the nation.
MoodyShoes
Well-Known Member
That's true. But he does remain exceptionally stable in his ratings, which is what interests me from the side of the odds.
Here's an article (or the conclusion of it) I've just been reading from Gallup polls.
Bottom Line
Trump's job approval rating thus far in his presidency has been extraordinarily stable, varying no more than six points from his term average of 40%. There has been some variation this year, with his approval rating dipping to 37% for two polls in January when the government was shut down and stretching to 46% in April after the release of the Mueller report and positive economic news.
However, since then, Trump's approval has stabilized at just over 40%, raising questions about whether it has the capacity to fundamentally change. That's unlikely if it depends on Democrats softening their opposition to Trump or Republicans souring on him. Political independents may be the only means to move Trump's approval needle.
Meanwhile, a majority of Democrats are in agreement with such prominent party figures as Sen. Elizabeth Warren, Rep. Joe Kennedy, and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez that the House should at least begin impeachment proceedings. But with political independents narrowly siding with Republicans in opposition to that action, public opinion currently leans against it.
DIY-HP-LED
Well-Known Member
attribution please, not just cherry picked quotes. Post the link
MoodyShoes
Well-Known Member
Toddlers in cages?
Come on mate, you don't have to go to such ridiculous extremes to make a point. This isn't 1940s Poland.
If I apply for a bank loan, then someone else just breaks into the bank with his kid and steals the money instead, is the criminal somehow doing the right thing?
And does he not deserve for his kid to be separated from him when he's caught?
There are perfectly legal ways to apply for citizenship in both the UK and the US, to not use these channels is to basically shit on those people who work very hard to do things the right way.
If you don't way to end up in a prison, don't commit a crime with your kids in toe. It's hardly complicated.