Wattzzup
Well-Known Member
Oh I’m sure they will now it’s 2%
Pandemic 2020
- Thread starter Jimdamick
- Start date
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doublejj
Well-Known Member
the reason Covid-19 is so dangerous is because it's not lethal enough.....if it killed more people quickly they wouldn't be able to spread it around fast enough to create an epidemic. But Covid-19 remains dormant for a long time and doesn't kill quickly, so it gets spread around much more....that's why Covid-19 is worse than Ebola or SARSE....
captainmorgan
Well-Known Member
Finally some good news.
Jimdamick
Well-Known Member
Tell that to yourself when your on your back gasping for air & have a temperature of 103 F & praying your not a part of that stat.
Fogdog
Well-Known Member
This report has been mentioned a few times by Trump's team, so I looked it up to find out what they were talking about. China was using a test that gave a false-positive result about half the time. Basically, they way over-estimated the number of infected but asymptotic people. I have no way of knowing what they are doing now, still, given these results, one would think that China's tests are now showing much fewer cases because their earlier test kits have been replaced with a better one.
[Potential false-positive rate among the 'asymptomatic infected individuals' in close contacts of COVID-19 patients].
Abstract
in English,
Objective: As the prevention and control of COVID-19continues to advance, the active nucleic acid test screening in the close contacts of the patients has been carrying out in many parts of China. However, the false-positive rate of positive results in the screening has not been reported up to now. But to clearify the false-positive rate during screening is important in COVID-19 control and prevention. Methods: Point values and reasonable ranges of the indicators which impact the false-positive rate of positive results were estimated based on the information available to us at present. The false-positive rate of positive results in the active screening was deduced, and univariate and multivariate-probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to understand the robustness of the findings.
Results: When the infection rate of the close contacts and the sensitivity and specificity of reported results were taken as the point estimates, the positive predictive value of the active screening was only 19.67%, in contrast, the false-positive rate of positive results was 80.33%. The multivariate-probabilistic sensitivity analysis results supported the base-case findings, with a 75% probability for the false-positive rate of positive results over 47%.
Conclusions: In the close contacts of COVID-19 patients, nearly half or even more of the 'asymptomatic infected individuals' reported in the active nucleic acid test screening might be false positives.
KEYWORDS:
COVID-19; Close contacts; False-positive; Nucleic acid
[Potential false-positive rate among the 'asymptomatic infected individuals' in close contacts of COVID-19 patients].
Abstract
in English,
Objective: As the prevention and control of COVID-19continues to advance, the active nucleic acid test screening in the close contacts of the patients has been carrying out in many parts of China. However, the false-positive rate of positive results in the screening has not been reported up to now. But to clearify the false-positive rate during screening is important in COVID-19 control and prevention. Methods: Point values and reasonable ranges of the indicators which impact the false-positive rate of positive results were estimated based on the information available to us at present. The false-positive rate of positive results in the active screening was deduced, and univariate and multivariate-probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to understand the robustness of the findings.
Results: When the infection rate of the close contacts and the sensitivity and specificity of reported results were taken as the point estimates, the positive predictive value of the active screening was only 19.67%, in contrast, the false-positive rate of positive results was 80.33%. The multivariate-probabilistic sensitivity analysis results supported the base-case findings, with a 75% probability for the false-positive rate of positive results over 47%.
Conclusions: In the close contacts of COVID-19 patients, nearly half or even more of the 'asymptomatic infected individuals' reported in the active nucleic acid test screening might be false positives.
KEYWORDS:
COVID-19; Close contacts; False-positive; Nucleic acid
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captainmorgan
Well-Known Member
Shits about to hit the fan.
www.politico.com
De Blasio asks Trump to send military to New York
“The military is the best logistical organization in the nation,” New York’s mayor said.
www.politico.com
Fogdog
Well-Known Member
What possible interest would anybody have in the opinion of an ignorant person?
OldMedUser
Well-Known Member
How can you say that?
The US has barely begun to test compared to even here in Canada and I'd wager the actual cases are 10X what is reported thus far and I'm pretty sure I'm being very conservative in that estimate.
The shit has yet to hit the fan!
Horselover fat
Well-Known Member
Here's quite a bit of info on what they did to contain the virus.
UncleBuck
Well-Known Member
No we are not down to 1%
UncleBuck
Well-Known Member
Your hero trump did “hearby order” private businesses to only conduct operations in the state approved manner and the grocery stores are out of food and they’re just gonna hand out money now so it seems like trump brought us that communism you love so much
UncleBuck
Well-Known Member
Different opinions are fine
lying about a pandemic because you’ve got trumps dick lodged in your throat is a different story
Poobzilla
Well-Known Member
Just spat cider all over my minitor, worth it
SubZer0Genetics
Well-Known Member
Lol you lefties are insane
Fogdog
Well-Known Member
What possible interest would anybody have in the opinion of an ignorant person?
UncleBuck
Well-Known Member
What did I say that was untrue
Wattzzup
Well-Known Member
You could say the same thing about the number of people who have it and are fine. Glass half empty people damn.
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UncleBuck
Well-Known Member
Your attempts at calming the situation are clearly working, there was a can of soup at the grocery store and no more mass layoffs
just kidding, you’re choking on trump dick and it’s ineffective
Fogdog
Well-Known Member
Is that what she's trying to convince us of? That there is no pandemic and this is all just fake news?
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SubZer0Genetics
Well-Known Member
Ignorant in what way? I guess questioning media statistics is now ignorant. Haha
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