South Carolina Predictions

deprave

deprave

New Member
I am hoping for the best for Paul but being reasonable I think the best results for Paul would be.

1st - Newt
2nd - Ron Paul
3rd - Satorum
4th - Romney

This could transpire because with everything that happened recently no real new polls are taking place before the vote.

Things that Happened:
-Santorum Declared Iowa Victor
-Rick Perry Dropped Out
-Gingrich and Romney scandals
-Debate Last night
-Santroum and Ron Paul both receiving a lot of endorsements
-Newt's popularity in SC is surging.

So that is my prediction for best Possible Ron Paul outcome and being realistic in saying Ron Paul can't take SC. The Ron Paul campaign is only shooting for top 3 actually because we are going for the Super Tuesday states. If my prediction comes true this would mean Ron Paul is winning in total votes and has a significant amount of delegates and that Romney is in huge trouble, this could ultimately lead to Ron Paul winning thee nomination because Newt is not even on the ballot or campaigning in a lot of states.

Ok now for my realistic prediction.

1st - Romney
2nd - Newt
3rd - Paul
4th - Santorum

Basically if you are a Ron Paul fan we are rooting for Mitt Romney doing really badly and Ron Paul finishing the top 3. Well we really want to look at districts, Ron Paul must take at least 1 district.
 
S

spandy

Well-Known Member
deprave said:
this would mean Ron Paul is winning in total votes and has a significant amount of delegates and that Romney is in huge trouble, this could ultimately lead to Ron Paul winning thee nomination
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+1

Romney is hitting home runs trying to win the game, and Paul just keeps consistently slapping hard line drives
in the gaps.

I was thinking newt, paul, romney santorum, but with the latest on newt and romney and like you said, new no polls, its tough to tell what people are thinking in such short notice. I would love to see a 4th place finish by romney though.
 
deprave

deprave

New Member
PHP:
spandy said:
+1

Romney is hitting home runs trying to win the game, and Paul just keeps consistently slapping hard line drives
in the gaps.

I was thinking newt, paul, romney santorum, but with the latest on newt and romney and like you said, new no polls, its tough to tell what people are thinking in such short notice. I would love to see a 4th place finish by romney though.
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The best that can happen for ron paul is for santorum to get 3 and romney 4.. as long as those 2 are on the bottom it is a complete victory. Paul getting first would be amaIng thou
 
UncleBuck

UncleBuck

Well-Known Member
paul might finish last. santorum was strong in the debate and they are within the margin of error in every poll, plus a conservative state's late deciders usually break conservative.

newt 38
romney 31
paul16
santorum 15
 
UncleBuck

UncleBuck

Well-Known Member
then we can move onto florida, where ronald the millionaire is DEAD LAST in the polls, just as he is also DEAD LAST nationally.

can you see the writing on the wall guys? or are you going to make the "i told you so" threads that much sweeter for us?
 
deprave

deprave

New Member
hmm well looking at the last polls done they don't actually tell us a whole lot.

PPP Poll - does not include age 18 to 29, paul takes 50-60% of the vote from this age bracker in Iowa and NH -
The other two polls the media is using also don't include cellphones but only land lines and voters last time

also none of the polls include independents and again same scenario Dr Paul took 50-60%

something else to consider is SC is known for voting for the Veteran and Ron Paul is the only veteran...anyway we will see...and also unclebuck...Ron Paul doesn't need to win in FL or SC to win, he doesn't even NEED to do well.

Lets just hope for the big turnout of young people and veterans. All dr paul really needs here is for Romney and Santorum to both do badly.
 
UncleBuck

UncleBuck

Well-Known Member
deprave said:
hmm well looking at the last polls done they don't actually tell us a whole lot.

PPP Poll - does not include age 18 to 29, paul takes 50-60% of the vote from this age bracker in Iowa and NH -
The other two polls the media is using also don't include cellphones but only land lines and voters last time

also none of the polls include independents and again same scenario Dr Paul took 50-60%

something else to consider is SC is known for voting for the Veteran and Ron Paul is the only veteran...anyway we will see...and also unclebuck...Ron Paul doesn't need to win in FL or SC to win, he doesn't even NEED to do well.

Lets just hope for the big turnout of young people and veterans. All dr paul really needs here is for Romney and Santorum to both do badly.
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you'll be lucky if young people show up on election day, much less a primary.

and for your edification, doing well in florida is a big deal. a candidate that does poorly in florida hands the election to obama, need i remind you of the math of kerry's map + florida and what magical number that is equal to?
 
deprave

deprave

New Member
UncleBuck said:
you'll be lucky if young people show up on election day, much less a primary.

and for your edification, doing well in florida is a big deal. a candidate that does poorly in florida hands the election to obama, need i remind you of the math of kerry's map + florida and what magical number that is equal to?
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Keep in mind.....total different election your talking about dousche nozel
 
UncleBuck

UncleBuck

Well-Known Member
deprave said:
Keep in mind.....total different election your talking about dousche nozel
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i get the personal, unprovoked insult.

what i don't get is what you are referring to as a "total different election". it is documented fact that young people just don't show up to vote that much, especially in primaries and non-presidential election years.
 
deprave

deprave

New Member
UncleBuck said:
i get the personal, unprovoked insult.

what i don't get is what you are referring to as a "total different election". it is documented fact that young people just don't show up to vote that much, especially in primaries and non-presidential election years.
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What I'm referring to is the fact that Ron Paul Vs Obama ..Ron Paul will stomp obama ass in the red state of Florida..this thread is not even about that..."unprovoked" my ass..your in a thread talking smack thats off topic. You only intention with that comment was provocation you big internet bad ass.
 
deprave

deprave

New Member
seems far fetched to me. You are basically trolling , this is offtopic, and I am done. are you 15 years old? your IQ must be like 90 you media parrot. Your prediction is the same as the pathetic polls...think for yourself for once in your life.
 
UncleBuck

UncleBuck

Well-Known Member
Illegal Smile said:
Let's start a pool on when Ron Paul endorses Romney. I say it's the day after the Florida primary.
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he may not endorse, actually. looking forward to rand, i suspect.

but he will be mathematically unelectable soon enough. i don't know when, the old coot has been doing OK so far. but florida will bury him hard.
 
S

spandy

Well-Known Member
UncleBuck said:
then we can move onto florida, where ronald the millionaire is DEAD LAST in the polls, just as he is also DEAD LAST nationally.

can you see the writing on the wall guys? or are you going to make the "i told you so" threads that much sweeter for us?
Click to expand...

According to Dan Kone, we should now cry about you going off topic for the next 2 pages, and then request the thread be locked thereafter.
 
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