bedspirit
Active Member
I don't know why we would be afraid to engage in a trade war. Do you know what our major exports are? Food and Raw materials. The only major manufactured export we have is aircraft, an industry with some pretty steep barriers to entry. China, on the hand has a lot more to fear in a trade war. The products they produce can be made anywhere. Raw materials, on the other hand, are where they are.Yah Tarrifs are really ineffective because they simply cause retaliatory tariffs from other countries, which just raises price levels on everything. The government makes out pretty well but the consumers end up paying ridiculous prices and substitute products become prevalent when they shouldn't be (IE sugar and HFCS). The smoot-hawley tarrifs were part o0f the cause of the great depression and are a good example of how tariffs can get extremely political, because you are favoring markets over others, and they ended up severely dampening trade (I think international trade decreased by 60%).
So far, the argument against lower income taxes and high tariffs is the fear of retaliation. Even people who love free trade admit that it causes U.S. job loss and lower wages. Is no one afraid of that? Is that somehow preferable to china not buying our soybeans? Also, I think the demand for the natural resources we export can survive a little retaliation. Where else are they going to go?
I think you're looking at a much different US than the one that existed in 1930. Also, Smoot-hawley was one of the largest tariff increases in history, so that's a pretty extreme example. Also, I would consider it to be very strange for it to be a cause of the Great Depression since it passed after the Great Depression had already started. I too have read that it was a cause, the explanation was that the mere talk of a tariff increase was enough to put us into a depression and there were discussions of a tariff coming, hence depression. That's the most fucking retarded thing I've ever read. It's sounds like propaganda to me. I suspect that the enormous increase in public debt during the 20's had more to with the depression than gossip of a tariff.