The Current Account Balance
- net earning on
exports minus payment for
exports
-
earnings on foreign investments
minus payments made to foreign investors
List of sovereign states by current account balance 2011 numbers
1 China 280.600
2 Saudi Arabia 151.400
3 Germany 149.300
4 Japan 122.800
5 Russia 90.510
6 Switzerland 76.700
192 United States
-473.900
We are living luxury off the last 200 years & off the Dollar as the worlds reserve currency.
Like the children of wealth.
Interest expense vs INCOME will rise
7% interest on debt is a joke, our WAM (weighted average maturity) is
short duration, and interest rates are at record lows!
We are effectively running an option ARM (adjustable rate mortgage) on our entire public economy!!
Housing will not bottom when interest rates bottom. Housing bottoms when interest rates top!!! People buy payments not prices. Nobody cares about the price of there house, only the payments-to-value!
Majority of Broke US consumers are still long US housing on hope.
No hope!
Why am I worried??
The Complete misallocation of resources!
FED is the direct cause of this. Like the housing crises they are causing a crises now. The crises of misallocation of valuable capitol by penalizing savers and builders while encouraging consumption, cronyism and entitlements.
0% CD rates who would save when inflation (CPI) is reported at 1.5%
Real inflation is above 1.5%
Savings is what fuels an economy! Savings is needed for building and industry.
Consumption is the result/fruit of savings and productive workings, not the driver of prosperity.
Asset values increase (direct result of QE $ printing). Chart of the Dow Jones 30
Paycheck to paycheck people suffer (energy up food up,
not in CPI but as a result of $ printing)
A weaker dollar shown by the Dollar Index
Bottom line life is harder for most Americans. For wealthy aristocrats and nimble stock derivative traders life is better.