Of course I vote. Of course as long as it is illegal in places it will be much more costly on the black market. My whole point is, from the grower who has taken the time to become educated and experienced and uses high quality genetics and grow techniques, he can make super high quality product legally in a legal area and sell it for $500 a pound over and over again. I call it the Walmart affect. Just like Walmart, put a lot of mom and pops out of business when MJ is legal. That's just nature. The strong survive and thrive!I get your point!
I guess what I was getting at is.
Due to the predominate political climate of the country as a whole,,,,,not any time soon!
So then,,,Don't like that appraisal?
Get out and VOTE!
If you think your vote doesn't count, and therefor you don't vote.....YOUR one of the problems!
P.S. Thanks to the mod who moved this to the proper forum!
Great points. I like the beer example. And I think weed will be similar. You will have choices from super cheap to upper tier. I just think it gets cheaper across the board to produce in legal areas. Of course there will be taxes to pay. Competition will drive the price discounting the taxes.I believe what you're saying OP. I have reason to think that 50 years from now I'll look back and see what we all paid when it first started going legal. I picture it heavily taxed but similar to how we have cigarettes now. It will no doubt be cheaper than now, but it will take a long time for the greedy growers to let the price drop that much. The variation and genetic possibilities will keep it in a higher/more desirable price range, kinda like micro breweries making high price beer. Some will smoke it, most people won't due to all of the medical reports that will come out and tests done on users in the future but huge corporations, like you said the Weed Marlboros and Copenhagens and others that are still to be created will run the show for the public- like a Coor's Light of weed.
Yeah, that's kinda what I think. Of course there will be the high price expensive stuff still, but there will definitely be mass produced stuff too that will be pretty cheap.Great points. I like the beer example. And I think weed will be similar. You will have choices from super cheap to upper tier. I just think it gets cheaper across the board to produce in legal areas. Of course there will be taxes to pay. Competition will drive the price discounting the taxes.
Well, my son raises a few head of cattle on his 15 acres and several pigs. He slaughters one every now and then to keep his freezer stocked and takes a deer or 2 every year. His wife makes these funky soaps every now and then with lavender from her flower bed and grows a garden every year. He don't smoke though and also has a really good full time job so they just do it as a lifestyle choice really. Yeah, none of that is rocket science either. lolWho do you know that rears cattle in order to eat meat and what proportion of the population produce their own spices or tomatoes?
The Colorado store owner quoted below thinks so. And I agree. At the end of the day, cultivating great weed is NOT rocket science. Sure there is a learning curve, but the same exists growing high quality spices, tomatoes or even live stock or manufacturing anything else. But, like good genetic stock, the upper tier seeds, the nutrients, the equipment and even the education is easily obtainable. And like all other things, experience is attained over time and that along with the training is available right here on the rollitup.
I mean let's face of it, if you take away the costs associated with having to grow in stealth mode and the risks of getting popped serving the black market for a premium, being a great marihuana cultivator is no different than becoming a great commercial farmer of tomatoes, corn or any other consumable. And, some upper tier vegetables are available that are grown organically, hydroponic and indoors for a premium. But, even for those upper tier consumables the premium does not equal thousands of a percentage markup once there is competition. At the end of the day, people are willing to pay more for better product but at what margins can producers charge and still compete with every body else that is cultivating?
I think the days of paying $3000 a pound are coming to an end where it is legal. I could easily see it falling to $500 a pound or maybe even less, unless the Feds step in to control it like they do whiskey. Overall, I see super cheap dank coming available for consumers in legal areas, like beer, and for the connoisseur like many of the rollitupers, I see it becoming easier and less expensive to cultivate for personal use like home brewers. For those who want stupid large profits though, they will only be found in the black market.
For example, I've made awesome moonshine, and I can attest that making it in small batches on a stove top still(5 gallons of mash, maybe 1.5 gallon of 150 proof final product), it is more expensive to make your own than to go to the liquor store and buy it. After you purchase a good quality distillers yeast, the sugar, fruit or whatever your mash recipe calls for, you've probably got $10-$15 bucks in it. Which isn't bad except you also have to consider the time it takes, including the 5 or 6 hours to distill, and there isn't any profit to make the product for sell on a small scale. Yep, the Walmart affect killed it. And I think you will see that same affect in cultivating weed for profit. Affordable is a good thing tho for consumers.
Below is a great article on how an over abundance of great weed will drive down prices of legalized marihuana. Even the top shelf stuff. See the link for the full article.
http://www.theweedblog.com/will-recreational-marijuana-prices-plummet-in-colorado-next-year/
"“I would not be surprised, given the flood that’s going to happen, if we see $10 and $15 eighths by early next year,” Khalatbari says. “I would believe that. I could see ounces being sold for $50. I truly see that happening, because there is going to be so much competition [and] people are becoming so efficient in their production. They’re automating much more. We’re seeing best practices settle in. There’s less risk in operating because people are operating at a higher level. I think we’re going to become a very efficient industry very quickly. We’re going to see competition, and we’re going to see prices hit rock bottom early next year.” At that point, he predicts, the black market will dwindle away."
I like it! After all there is no sense in paying stupid astronomical mark ups for upper tier weed. I figure my costs for growing one dank ass plant, which would give back at least a couple ounces would be at most $60(very high estimate). That includes the genetics(seed), nutrients and electricity. $30 an ounce not counting my time and 2 o's will easily last me 6 months.
But, that's very small time like the example of making whiskey. If I scaled that up to an efficient commercial level, I believe you could get costs under $10 an ounce. Using natural sunlight in a greenhouse setting and buying your supplies in bulk quantities. $50 an ounce would make for a 500% markup! That would easily pay a good wage for your time on a commercial scale.
What are the start up costs for a tiny hobby grow? I do LED now and a decent one of those can be had for a one plant grow for $100. A fan $10, a hempy bucket($3) and nutrients for about $30 and would last 2+ grows. Perlite $10 and will last many grows. Add an O3 generator for odor control about $40. You can throw CO2 in there as well for cheap. That and some time is all you need! And remember, these costs will spread out over many grows. I write these costs off anyway, since, all hobbies and past times cost money. And I consider myself more of a connoisseur, since I enjoy my grow and mostly just smoke to relax in the evening and to help me sleep.
Yes this is my first post, but I've done a heckuva lot of lurking here and much respect to you guys for sharing the knowledge of dankness. I have never been involved in the commerce of weed on the black market and I say free the weed everywhere and let us all grow our own. This whole prohibition caused all the bullshat, drama, expense and violence associated with MJ, which is a total fail on the human end. It's just weed and it's been around for 1000's of years. Not hurting anybody. Making it legal makes it cheaper and a better safer product for everyone.
.The Colorado store owner quoted below thinks so. And I agree. At the end of the day, cultivating great weed is NOT rocket science.
We’re going to see competition, and we’re going to see prices hit rock bottom early next year.” At that point, he predicts, the black market will dwindle away."
Making it legal makes it cheaper and a better safer product for everyone.
Only if you are one of those Mexican farmers who intentionally run seeded bud, then use a clothing bailer to compress it.Well, that was written from my own perspective and not necessarily a one size fits all perspective. Since I am not involved in a commercial scale, I really can't fathom ever wanting or needing a pound. That would probably last me 7 or 8 years. An 1/8th would last me at least a week. Just saying, if you crunch the numbers on a large commercial grow, over time, $500 a lb could be very profitable. Now a small indoor gorilla grower may not see a profit at that price .
Blaming the Mexicans are we? LolOnly if you are one of those Mexican farmers who intentionally run seeded bud, then use a clothing bailer to compress it.
Talk to any outdoor seasoned medical grower, and he or she will tell you they wouldn't waste their time growing for $50/zip.
If anything, lower prices will cause a shortage of experienced growers willing to spend time and resources to produce it.
Which is why prices have remained stable.
Yeah man those are the black market issues that cause so much worry. I am talking about in a legal market. Where growers don't have to worry about getting popped.no weed is equal
and 50 a ounce is too little
@GrowUrOwnDank have you ever had a grow op before????
if you have then you wouldnt support this
in my past 3 grows it was more work then just putting a seed in the ground i worried constantly about if it was okay
i had to carry water down to the grow op and you have to address the plant's health problems
its like a really needy pet
and the at the end of its grow cycle and you harvest it you have to trim the buds
and to trim a ounce of bud would take a while so 50 bucks a ounce is wrong
if it were say 150 a ounce for everything then it would be better around
and the people growing for the dispenserys only get like half of that so think about this for a second
you spent every breathing moment worried about those little fucks you water it and heal them and then come harvest time you have to actully cut the buds off then trim it just so and THEN you have to cure it just right
not to mention if you have spider mites and you actually manage to get rid of them there will still be dead mites and when they inspect it theyll see it and not buy it so then your out money that you need to pay rent and feed yourself and to cover the expenses for growing
so people take that risk and they damn well better make good money off of it
50 a ounce is fucking ridicules for a grower