Climate in the 21st Century

Will Humankind see the 22nd Century?

  • Not a fucking chance

    Votes: 44 28.0%
  • Maybe. if we get our act together

    Votes: 41 26.1%
  • Yes, we will survive

    Votes: 72 45.9%

  • Total voters
    157

ttystikk

Well-Known Member
Not sure where else to put this. It is hurricane related. We just heard my wife's first cousin died in the storm. Not sure if or how high the water got at her house, but she lived one block off the bay in Punta Gorda in her mom's old house. Which had got damaged in a hurricane 15'ish years ago. She had taken the money from that and bought a big RV. But it had got old and unusable, so she was back living in her mom's old house. She was 74 and had a medical emergency during the storm and couldn't be helped until after it was too late. We just got the news in the last hour.

I'm so sorry to hear this.
 

Aeroknow

Well-Known Member
I live very close to Campbell. At the end of the Los Gatos creek trail. My office window looks out south on 280 merging into 17 and 880.
Bottleneck area. I do prefer 92 over to half moon. Half moon is probably my favorite place on the coast. It’s so chill and less crowds with awesome beaches and wide open coast trail. I ride my bike to work. Short distance but still very difficult with glass and thorns that flatten my tire , deranged homeless people harassing me and aggressively drivers ready to run me over.
Oh my god those damn thorns in your tires. That whole part of the bay area has them on the ground bigtime. From being on my paper route bmx bike to casual riding my mtn bike around i’ve probably got at least 200 flats from those fucked up things. Even with those liners you can put in your tires. Those things suck!
 

ttystikk

Well-Known Member
@injinji


Satellite based microwave radar image animation showing the recycled eyewall of Milton. Look for it to maintain Category 4 or even regain Category 5 strength. It has a ways to go before it impacts Florida and the forecast is for wind shear to knock the storm's top wind speeds down but the storm will likely grow in size and dump lots of rain- and still be at least a Category 3.

And don't forget, it's *going backwards*, West to East, in a way that's unprecedented in Gulf of Mexico hurricanes over the last century.

The technology available (free! Thanks NOAA!) today is just astounding. These images and animations are mesmerizing, in the same way I would surmise the eyes of the tiger coming to EAT YOU are fascinating... LOL
 

BudmanTX

Well-Known Member
@injinji


Satellite based microwave radar image animation showing the recycled eyewall of Milton. Look for it to maintain Category 4 or even regain Category 5 strength. It has a ways to go before it impacts Florida and the forecast is for wind shear to knock the storm's top wind speeds down but the storm will likely grow in size and dump lots of rain- and still be at least a Category 3.

And don't forget, it's *going backwards*, West to East, in a way that's unprecedented in Gulf of Mexico hurricanes over the last century.

The technology available (free! Thanks NOAA!) today is just astounding. These images and animations are mesmerizing, in the same way I would surmise the eyes of the tiger coming to EAT YOU are fascinating... LOL
the 2 things that surprise me about this storm is in fact: 1: it growth rate, going from a tropical storm to a full blown Cat 5 in 24 to 48hrs is amazing. Lasts night MB's were 897 now it's 929. 2: it's track from west to east it's hardly unheard of, the fact the a storm such as this going the opposite direction....

i use to watch these thing https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/

nice little tool
 

ttystikk

Well-Known Member
the 2 things that surprise me about this storm is in fact: 1: it growth rate, going from a tropical storm to a full blown Cat 5 in 24 to 48hrs is amazing. Lasts night MB's were 897 now it's 929. 2: it's track from west to east it's hardly unheard of, the fact the a storm such as this going the opposite direction....

i use to watch these thing https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/

nice little tool
I'm looking forward to today's update; the storm did in fact reach historically low levels of barometric pressure and high wind speeds. The interaction of the storm with the wind shear is big question and I don't think there will be any firm answers on that until the hurricane is actually reaching shore, and by then it will be too late to leave!
 

BudmanTX

Well-Known Member
I'm looking forward to today's update; the storm did in fact reach historically low levels of barometric pressure and high wind speeds. The interaction of the storm with the wind shear is big question and I don't think there will be any firm answers on that until the hurricane is actually reaching shore, and by then it will be too late to leave!
i'm looking forward to the updates today as well......that tropicaltidbits site work well with updates from SAT and NOAA people, so when in doubt i ck that first.....
 

BudmanTX

Well-Known Member
After briefly being a Cat 4 for a while, Milton has returned to Cat 5 status, 165mph winds with gusts going higher than that.......


Milton should turn tonight


Pink cloud tops are not good, also vortices in the eye wall......still go time, will Milton downgrade to a Cat4 and then a Cat 3 when it hit, at this moment its hard to tell, the gulf is warm so it's got a lot of energy to give off so we'll see.....Batton down the hatches Tampa, this is gonna be a doozey. Also Floridians, tell Desannuts to stuff it......freaking idiot.....
 

BudmanTX

Well-Known Member
that sat image is nice and all, but i like this one put out by CIRCA


you can easily see the ocean floor and also the vorticese in the eye wall, over all nice capture.......

and people say "oh there is no climate change" i call BULL..........there has been some weird shit going on these last few years, 2 cat 5's this year, and this one going the opposite way....
 

Fladawg01

Member
I am happy that you are safe after that and hope that your neighbors recover as soon as possible. I don't know anything about what is going on down there, and hope that all the shit is getting worked out. I would think that there would be computers at the pop up centers to do the applications, if they didn't that would be screwed up.

I saw something about chainsaws down there earlier being handed out by FEMA, but not sure right now. I would hope that those businesses were able to donate them to people directly. I know one way that the guy from FEMA was saying they got people to take goods was to ask them to help get the stuff to people they knew who were in need.


I am sure though that I can look for anything I can imagine and find it on some YouTube video. With everything being caught and edited out of context it wouldn't be hard to imagine someone saying something incorrectly from time to time being used to say something happened that never did.

Stay safe!
Lots of things being said on the media about assistance that is there but isn't. Spoken to too many who need it and have actually been turned down. There were only 4 FEMA people in the area last we heard. One thing they need is helicopters due to many of the backroads in the mountains being wiped out they can't get too many who need help with trucks or jeeps or even 4 wheelers in some cases. There is a guy using his mules to pack stuff to people. It's bad but they are fighters and will rebuild.
 

ttystikk

Well-Known Member
Lots of things being said on the media about assistance that is there but isn't. Spoken to too many who need it and have actually been turned down. There were only 4 FEMA people in the area last we heard. One thing they need is helicopters due to many of the backroads in the mountains being wiped out they can't get too many who need help with trucks or jeeps or even 4 wheelers in some cases. There is a guy using his mules to pack stuff to people. It's bad but they are fighters and will rebuild.
On the one hand I'm hearing about FEMA helping and on the other hand I'm hearing about people stuck, not getting help or supplies, and helicopter pilots bring chased off under that of arrest. WTF is going on back in them hills, anyway?
 
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