injinji
Well-Known Member
I was napping, and Fred sneaked ashore while I wasn't looking.
Tropical Storm Fred Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062021
215 PM CDT Mon Aug 16 2021
...FRED MAKES LANDFALL IN THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...
National Weather Service WSR-88D radar data indicate that the
center of Tropical Storm Fred has made landfall near Cape San
Blas, Florida. Maximum sustained winds are estimated to be near
65 mph (100 km/h).
I heard someone in Alabama say Fred was just going to be rain with a name. But he is blowing a little here on the sandhill. 12 mph with gust up to 22 atm. Overall we are having rain/wind, 72F with 99% humidity. Forecast high low of 74/70F with 100% chance of rain today and tonight and 30% tomorrow. We've had 1.2 inches so far, and expect another 0.9 today and 1.25 tonight.
The river prediction has gone from 21' which is a pain in the ass, to 28', which is shit floating down the river level, back down to 23". I can live with a little ass pain. I've been looking at the actual river readings trying to decide if I need to move my citrus trees and other plants. So far it hasn't really gone up. Less than a foot of rise for the day. So the plan for now is to go down and smoke a bowl and look at the rain. Later if I do have to move everything, I will cuss myself for not starting sooner.
Tropical Storm Fred Tropical Cyclone Update
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062021
215 PM CDT Mon Aug 16 2021
...FRED MAKES LANDFALL IN THE EASTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...
National Weather Service WSR-88D radar data indicate that the
center of Tropical Storm Fred has made landfall near Cape San
Blas, Florida. Maximum sustained winds are estimated to be near
65 mph (100 km/h).
I heard someone in Alabama say Fred was just going to be rain with a name. But he is blowing a little here on the sandhill. 12 mph with gust up to 22 atm. Overall we are having rain/wind, 72F with 99% humidity. Forecast high low of 74/70F with 100% chance of rain today and tonight and 30% tomorrow. We've had 1.2 inches so far, and expect another 0.9 today and 1.25 tonight.
The river prediction has gone from 21' which is a pain in the ass, to 28', which is shit floating down the river level, back down to 23". I can live with a little ass pain. I've been looking at the actual river readings trying to decide if I need to move my citrus trees and other plants. So far it hasn't really gone up. Less than a foot of rise for the day. So the plan for now is to go down and smoke a bowl and look at the rain. Later if I do have to move everything, I will cuss myself for not starting sooner.
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xtsho
Well-Known Member
A nice layer of marine air has moved in off of the pacific. We've been pretty much smoke free here in Portland despite our proximity to many large wildfires. The last week was a little hazy but it's cleared up due to that marine air from the west. Unfortunately that cool clean air doesn't make it over the cascades or south where they could really use it.
The weather has been great for the garden but the increased water use has had a significant impact on the water bill. I'm watering almost everyday. Raised beds dry out fast in plus 90°F temps.
I was just out in the backyard and there is a nice breeze of cool air. The temperature drops fast when that ocean air starts flowing in.
It can also get nasty like last summer when we had almost 2 weeks of nasty smoke that made it seem like it was dawn or dusk in the middle of the day. It was crazy how much smoke moved in.
I'm hoping for more flow from the west and that cool clean air off of the Pacific.
The weather has been great for the garden but the increased water use has had a significant impact on the water bill. I'm watering almost everyday. Raised beds dry out fast in plus 90°F temps.
I was just out in the backyard and there is a nice breeze of cool air. The temperature drops fast when that ocean air starts flowing in.
It can also get nasty like last summer when we had almost 2 weeks of nasty smoke that made it seem like it was dawn or dusk in the middle of the day. It was crazy how much smoke moved in.
I'm hoping for more flow from the west and that cool clean air off of the Pacific.
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injinji
Well-Known Member
Fred turned out to be a little tougher than we figured. Yesterday afternoon I ran down to the riverhouse to check on it. (there was some water getting in at the east facing doorways when the rain was coming in sideways) A big hickory tree came down across the driveway while I was there, so I had to walk home. The wind was pretty intense. In the mile and a half, there were 4 or 5 trees down across the road. We went 22 hours without power.
The river is rising, but not crazy high. But last night it was still predicted to be much higher, so after the wind eased up some, I went back with the chainsaw, cleared the road and the driveway and moved the car to a safe place. This morning Sister and I worked to get some shit moved, but stopped when the prediction was revised.
The river is rising, but not crazy high. But last night it was still predicted to be much higher, so after the wind eased up some, I went back with the chainsaw, cleared the road and the driveway and moved the car to a safe place. This morning Sister and I worked to get some shit moved, but stopped when the prediction was revised.
injinji
Well-Known Member
The wife and I just got back from walking down by the riverhouse. It's a hair cooler down there. Still pretty warm. At 2000 it's fair, 82F with 74% humidity. Forecast low of 72F with 15% chance of rain tonight, and a high of 92F with 40% chance of rain tomorrow. Fred did bring us a couple three days without rain.
injinji
Well-Known Member
I said something this morning I couldn't have said in the month of July. It hasn't rained for the last three days. None since Fred. If the rain passes tonight and tomorrow, I may even need to water the raised bed tomatoes. Something I haven't done since June.
At 1350 it's partly cloudy, 90F with 56% humidity. Forecast high low of 92/74F with 60% chance or rain today and 85% tonight.
At 1350 it's partly cloudy, 90F with 56% humidity. Forecast high low of 92/74F with 60% chance or rain today and 85% tonight.
xtsho
Well-Known Member
I've been watering almost daily since June. And I'm here in the PNW where it's supposed to rain. Last couple days we've had some drizzle, a few showers and, temps in the 70's. Not enough precipitation to do much of anything. The ground looks wet but if you scratch the grass away it's bone dry.
We're getting back into the 80's next week but the nighttime temps drop down into the 50's.
injinji
Well-Known Member
Over the last 10-15 years our rainy season has got longer with more rain. The last few years it stops mid to late August. And when it stops, it stops. I've lost lots of late season plants from lack of water when they are in a no carry location. But the late season strategy is about the only way I can beat the rot. (I cut lots of rot off three of my seed plants this week. The good news, it looks like the 1 Random Glued Cherry Doja f2 seeds are most mature. And I'll let the rest go as long as the rot will let it)
We had sun all morning. Clouds moved in and now we have light rain. It's 82F with 82% humidity. Forecast low of 74F with 60% chance of rain tonight, and a high of 90F with 50% chance of rain tomorrow.
The river has been slowly coming up again. The driveway isn't underwater, but it's muddy enough I've been parking on the hill and walking in. The prediction is for 2 more feet of rise.
injinji
Well-Known Member
After lunch I went to weedeat around the grapevines and cut a dead oak (thanks to Fred) off the soft pair tree. It was just starting to rain when I left the house so I figured I might get in half an hour before the washout. The damn rain held off longer than I was able to hold up. I did get a little work done. We did get rain about suppertime, and a bit of a thunderstorm just now, with more coming down from Goergia. Just saw this a minute ago.
At 1207 AM EDT/1107 PM CDT/, Doppler radar was tracking a strong
thunderstorm near @#$$%, moving southwest at 15 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
But anyway. . . . . . . At 2315 there is light rain with thunder, 78F with 96% humidity. Forecast low of 74F with 85% chance of rain tonight and 60% tomorrow. We've got just over 2 inches so far. The river has crested, but I have a feeling it's not going to go down much if any.
At 1207 AM EDT/1107 PM CDT/, Doppler radar was tracking a strong
thunderstorm near @#$$%, moving southwest at 15 mph.
HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
But anyway. . . . . . . At 2315 there is light rain with thunder, 78F with 96% humidity. Forecast low of 74F with 85% chance of rain tonight and 60% tomorrow. We've got just over 2 inches so far. The river has crested, but I have a feeling it's not going to go down much if any.
injinji
Well-Known Member
Meanwhile on the sandhill, it's cloudy, 83F with 81% humidity. Forecast high low of 88/74F with 35% chance of rain today and 25% tonight.
The river has been up over the driveway for 4-5 days, but it's falling now. It did not rain yesterday and there was only a few sprinkles the day before. My monsoon season may be drawing to a close.
The river has been up over the driveway for 4-5 days, but it's falling now. It did not rain yesterday and there was only a few sprinkles the day before. My monsoon season may be drawing to a close.
xtsho
Well-Known Member
Ida looks like she's going to be a mean bitch when she hits land.
There's no way I could live on the Gulf Coast and go through those storms year after year. We get a wind storm once every ten years and a maybe a few inches of snow in the winter. Nothing like that stuff that just pummels you guys down there. But things are changing climate wise that's for sure. 116° F in Portland Oregon. Crazy changes happening.
Rozgreenburn
Well-Known Member
I'm not religious but prayers going out for all impacted. Hope...
injinji
Well-Known Member
Just like Michael, it kept it's strength well ashore. I'm an hour inland, and we had 130 mph winds with Michael.. This one was much the same.Looks pretty ominous. It doesn't look like it's going to fizzle out the way Henri did.
And check out the crazy path it took once ashore. It came really close to NOLA.
injinji
Well-Known Member
A couple of hours ago Cousin Sally called to tell us channel 13 out of Panama City was saying there was a radar indicated tornado on our road. It's only two miles long, so if there had been, it would have been close. But I haven't heard anything, so I guess it didn't touch down.
All day yesterday the bands of rain were stopping about 10-15 miles west of us. Then just before midnight (as I was walking home) they reached us. It's been raining pretty steady since. The flood prediction guys say the river is going to crest over 19 foot. 18.5 fills the slough and submerges the driveway. The driveway just dried out enough to walk it a couple days ago. So it looks like another week of wading.
At 1045 there is light rain, 75F with 99% humidity. Forecast high low of 79/72F with 90% chance of rain today, and 50% tonight. Just under an inch of rain since midnight.
But for some good news, my 10 day forecast has the lows getting into the 60's several nights next week. September, we are ready for you.
All day yesterday the bands of rain were stopping about 10-15 miles west of us. Then just before midnight (as I was walking home) they reached us. It's been raining pretty steady since. The flood prediction guys say the river is going to crest over 19 foot. 18.5 fills the slough and submerges the driveway. The driveway just dried out enough to walk it a couple days ago. So it looks like another week of wading.
At 1045 there is light rain, 75F with 99% humidity. Forecast high low of 79/72F with 90% chance of rain today, and 50% tonight. Just under an inch of rain since midnight.
But for some good news, my 10 day forecast has the lows getting into the 60's several nights next week. September, we are ready for you.
xtsho
Well-Known Member
The extremes across the country are crazy. Other than some record breaking temperatures and lack of rain the weather here has been beautiful. We've even been spared the smoke from the wildfires due to the offshore flow from the pacific. It's been keeping the smoke away. I feel guilty watching all the chaos going on in the rest of the country.
