I think Nate will lose to a decision, but come out more valuable than going in. Obviously a big young insane wrestler is the worst matchup for him, but he's the ultimate dog. He's good off of his back, so I think he survives ground and pound and sub attempts. I don't think Khamzat has enough boxing skill or a kick game to outright ko him. I think Khamzat's biggest enemy will be his adrenaline. He'll blow his load trying to finish Nate a few times and end up fighting to a clinchy / wrestling dominant position decision. I think it will be a boring version of his last fight, because Nate doesn't have the power to sleep him or the jujitsu to keep it standing up.