Finshaggy
Well-Known Member
A lot of people have seen what is going on with ISIS in places like San Bernardino, Paris & Belgium, then more recently Orlando, Lebanon, Turkey & Bangladesh. And it seems like ISIS is winning. But here is what is actually happening.
In June 2015 the Iraqi Security Forces were supposed to head towards Mosul (the largest ISIS held city in Iraq) and the Peshmerga did head toward Mosul, the Peshmerga are still holding a 400 mile border North of Mosul and not allowing ISIS to cross, and getting in constant clashes with ISIS. The Iraqi Security Forces did not head toward Mosul and the plan was for them to head there June 2016, they still have not done that, but they did take back Fallujah in June 2016, so they are getting started.
Analyses of the ISIS forces in Mosul by Peshmerga puts there numbers at 9,000-12,000 people willing to fight and die in Mosul. Some Peshmerga say it is probably less, as ISIS makes it seem like they have more people than they do. But they say it should take 30,000 soldiers 6-10 months to clear ISIS from the city, they will have to clear booby traps and snipers, etc.
So within the next 1.5-2 years, ISIS should be cleared from Iraq. Syria is a whole other issue, since Assad is not accepted by his own people so he can not remain in power, but Russia supports him and America has stopped Air-striking his forces. And the ISIS declared Capitol is in Raqqa, but once Iraq is clear (within the next 1.5-2 years most likely) people will definitely not feel like ISIS is winning. They aren't winning right now, but a lot of people feel like they are.
In June 2015 the Iraqi Security Forces were supposed to head towards Mosul (the largest ISIS held city in Iraq) and the Peshmerga did head toward Mosul, the Peshmerga are still holding a 400 mile border North of Mosul and not allowing ISIS to cross, and getting in constant clashes with ISIS. The Iraqi Security Forces did not head toward Mosul and the plan was for them to head there June 2016, they still have not done that, but they did take back Fallujah in June 2016, so they are getting started.
Analyses of the ISIS forces in Mosul by Peshmerga puts there numbers at 9,000-12,000 people willing to fight and die in Mosul. Some Peshmerga say it is probably less, as ISIS makes it seem like they have more people than they do. But they say it should take 30,000 soldiers 6-10 months to clear ISIS from the city, they will have to clear booby traps and snipers, etc.
So within the next 1.5-2 years, ISIS should be cleared from Iraq. Syria is a whole other issue, since Assad is not accepted by his own people so he can not remain in power, but Russia supports him and America has stopped Air-striking his forces. And the ISIS declared Capitol is in Raqqa, but once Iraq is clear (within the next 1.5-2 years most likely) people will definitely not feel like ISIS is winning. They aren't winning right now, but a lot of people feel like they are.
