Yes, this is what I see. 100 days is 1200 hrs at 12x12. I also burned some 24x7 in veg with a 500 w CFL.
So, from this chart it is easy to see, the reason you CAN see the difference. I just wrote about this in my journal.
At 5000 hr, you are only 80% and I could see that. I just noticed as I setting up for bud...wait, I am not suppose to be able to see that element! It is suppose to cause me to squint, and the "need sunglasses" feeling at 1000w. So, maybe with the lower watts it is more difficult but, you should be able to notice a difference at 5000 hr.
And for HPS specifically, the good spectrum for flowering deteriorates first and by 5000 hr, it's about gone.
Still plenty of light for a street lamp or something, but low juice for flowers.
So, my indication is when i don't squint. Woops.