Fogdog
Well-Known Member
75 million of them.
www.politico.com
I’ll say that there are some positive things the Democratic Party has going for it. Age polarization is really working in our favor; I think it’s clear that the gap between young voters and older voters is substantially larger than it has been. And it seems like Zoomers even more liberal than Millennials, though there might be some interesting gender gaps between men and women there; Zoomer men might actually be more conservative. But these age gaps are very large.
The other part of the good news, I think, is that now that highly educated people are so Democratic, this is going to influence how the media covers Democrats, since journalists are generally very educated, and the world is run by highly educated people. So, at multiple levels, whether it’s the boardroom or whatever, there are probably some long-term benefits. And that’s reflected in terms of Democrats raising more money now.
The flipside is that we have an election system that makes it basically impossible for Democrats’ current coalition to ever wield legislative power. Non-college educated whites are highly represented at every single level of government, and we are currently fighting elections on state legislative maps, congressional maps, an Electoral College map and a Senate map that are ludicrously unfavorable for us. We are legitimately in a position from here on out where we would need to get 54 percent of the popular vote — which we did not even accomplish this time — for multiple cycles in a row, for us to be in a position to really pass laws. That’s pretty bad.
Democrats are best represented among younger voters, Black and Hispanic voters and the college educated. So, what are the trends in the heartland and states with smaller populations? Just the opposite. Fewer college educated, disproportionately whiter and older. Just looking at those trends, the Senate will probably stay in Republican control for the foreseeable future. The Democratic Party can't go all white-racist and evangelist Christian, that's not ever going to happen. Where it has to improve is among those without college education. This shouldn't be hard. But we haven't seen them do it yet.
How 2020 Killed Off Democrats’ Demographic Hopes
Demographics are not destiny, says David Shor. And if Democrats want their party to succeed nationally, they’ll have to face that fact and change. Here’s how.
www.politico.com
I’ll say that there are some positive things the Democratic Party has going for it. Age polarization is really working in our favor; I think it’s clear that the gap between young voters and older voters is substantially larger than it has been. And it seems like Zoomers even more liberal than Millennials, though there might be some interesting gender gaps between men and women there; Zoomer men might actually be more conservative. But these age gaps are very large.
The other part of the good news, I think, is that now that highly educated people are so Democratic, this is going to influence how the media covers Democrats, since journalists are generally very educated, and the world is run by highly educated people. So, at multiple levels, whether it’s the boardroom or whatever, there are probably some long-term benefits. And that’s reflected in terms of Democrats raising more money now.
The flipside is that we have an election system that makes it basically impossible for Democrats’ current coalition to ever wield legislative power. Non-college educated whites are highly represented at every single level of government, and we are currently fighting elections on state legislative maps, congressional maps, an Electoral College map and a Senate map that are ludicrously unfavorable for us. We are legitimately in a position from here on out where we would need to get 54 percent of the popular vote — which we did not even accomplish this time — for multiple cycles in a row, for us to be in a position to really pass laws. That’s pretty bad.
Democrats are best represented among younger voters, Black and Hispanic voters and the college educated. So, what are the trends in the heartland and states with smaller populations? Just the opposite. Fewer college educated, disproportionately whiter and older. Just looking at those trends, the Senate will probably stay in Republican control for the foreseeable future. The Democratic Party can't go all white-racist and evangelist Christian, that's not ever going to happen. Where it has to improve is among those without college education. This shouldn't be hard. But we haven't seen them do it yet.
