A couple of weeks ago, the odds of Democrats taking the House are the same that Clinton had of winning in 2016 - about 70%.
So, yeah. Be nervous
538 currently has odds of Democrats taking the house at 85%. Better but considering the alternative, not good enough. Be nervous, get out and vote. Get like-minded friends out to vote too.
Not comfortable until the odds of winning are greater than 95%.
Still, 85% is pretty good.
Kowabunga, dude
yeah, I read Nate Silver's article this morning. He feels that, though Trump's popularity is climbing, there chances for the house are dropping..
But I work with people who accept his lies at face value. One said today "you can't prove there are no middle Eastern terrorists in the caravan. Exactly the words of the talking Trump-heads on TV.
They also believe that there is rampant voter fraud. I brought up Trump's blue ribbon vote fraud panel that met for months, spent millions, and disbanded without
any evidence presented. I asked why Trump would remain quiet about the panel if they found any he said that he didn't care, he
felt like there was lots of it. This guy has literally not left the county in three years.
Gingrich laughs.