Is war still on the horizon, or is it looking less likely at this point seeing the drills have been on for a couple of days without an attack from the North? This question is directed more toward poonjoon or others in Korea right now....I know what US media is saying so I'm interested in what their saying where it is actually happening
well ,my personal belief is that there will be a war but not anytime soon. my view is that there will be war within 10-15 years and i dont see this as the start of a real war.
but the tensions are extremely high here. the north have their missiles all ready and they've recalled their expats living in russia in preparation for war. south koreas mentality has COMPLETELY changed now and a lot of people here are ready for war. if you go out to a bar and just take a listen to what some guys are saying, they're ready to go. every male adult in korea have gone through military training.
lee myung bak (south korean president) has horrible popularity here, but thanks to this and cheonan it's starting to look better for him. these events are simple conditioning for the korean population (and the rest of the region) for terrible times ahead. this won't be the first or last this kind of thing happens. there will be worse events ahead.
this is from my blog:
US-ROK wargames have just begun again in the region. The USS George Washington, along with escort ships, was sent to Korean waters for the drills. China has stated that the USS George Washington should be turned back and added that the wargames present a problem for the region.
Here are a few excerpts from various newspapers in Asia:
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Korea:
45 percent of respondents said they wanted the South Korean government to show a stern response to North Korea even if it would escalate arms clash with North Korea, Donga Ilbo, a local daily, said Saturday.
34 percent of respondent didnt want the situation to escalate into further arms conflicts, who yet said that they wanted the South Korean military to engage any North Korea-initiated provocations in accordance with the rules of engagement.
16 percent of them supported the view that South Korea should refrain from a military response and instead deal with the matter diplomatically and economically.
http://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/news/nation/2010/11/116_77059.html
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China:
We hold a consistent and clear-cut stance on the issue. We oppose any party to take any military actions in our exclusive economic zone without permission, Chinas Foreign Ministry spokesman Hong Lei said in a statement days before the ROK- US joint drill. http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/world/2010-11/28/content_11619573.htm
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Japan:
All members of Prime Minister Naoto Kans Cabinet were on alert Saturday for developments in North Korea as South Korea and the U.S. prepared to start a four-day military drill Sunday in the Yellow Sea.
Cabinet members have been ordered by Kan to stay in Tokyo until Wednesday and be at their ministry offices within an hour in the event of a crisis.
http://search.japantimes.co.jp/cgi-bin/nn20101128a1.html
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Edit: This was just released after South Korean president Lee Myung-Bak had a speech:
SEOUL (AFP) South Korean President Lee Myung-Bak on Monday vowed to make North Korea pay the price for its inhumane artillery attack on a frontline island that killed four people and sparked global outrage.
Lee has come under pressure to take a tougher line against Pyongyang after his militarys counter-fire following North Koreas deadly artillery strike on a border island last week was seen as feeble.
I cant help expressing anger at the North Korean regimes brutality, he said in a nationally televised address.Now our people know that any more tolerance and patience will only fan bigger provocations, he said of the regime that has previously tested nuclear bombs and is blamed for sinking a South Korean warship, killing 46 people.
http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/nkoreaskoreamilitary
North Korea has called back their expats in Russia because of the threat of war:
A mass exodus of North Korean workers from the Far East of Russia is under way, according to reports coming out of the region. As the two Koreas edged towards the brink of war this week, it appears that the workers in Russia have been called back to aid potential military operations.
Vladnews agency, based in Vladivostok, reported that North Korean workers had left the town of Nakhodka en masse shortly after the escalation of tension on the Korean peninsula earlier this week. Traders have left the kiosks and markets, workers have abandoned building sites, and North Korean secret service employees working in the region have joined them and left, the agency reported.
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/asia/expats-recalled-as-north-korea-prepares-for-war-2145018.html
http://420trader.net/?p=693
greenplease, i read your reply. thanks, i'll reply back soon..im really hungover right now