Good campaigner or not the economy, and more, would have to vastly improve before Obama would be extremely difficult to beat.
He cannot run on his record, on his achievements. He doesn't have any that he can brag about and that are popular with the majority of the nation. His one major accomplishment, that is hated by many and has cost jobs and driven up the cost of healthcare and driving up the national debt, and that is before most of it has been implemented and where the major cost increases will occur, will likely be if not totally, at least in part struck down by the U.S. Supreme Court.
That will make him look terrible. He fought like mad and had to make all sorts of backroom deals giving some states breaks, and then after it passed some major employers complained and he handed out exemptions to some of them, showing that if you are powerful enough the laws will not equally apply to you. The basis of their defense proves that Obama and Democrats are liars. The 'fee' charged to those who would not comply and purchase health insurance, as demanded by the legislation, was repeatedly said by Democrats that it is not a tax. As it turns out now the only way to attempt to make the clause forcing citizens to purchase a product, that being health insurance, and the 'fee' constitutional is if the 'fee' is a tax. So now the Democrats legal argument is that the 'fee' that over and over and over again was said to not be a tax is now being claimed to be a tax.
That won't help Obama or Democrats in general.
Economic projections made by independent economists for the future (now the present) with or without the so called shovel ready pork barrel laden political payback stimulus program had the economy being as strong or stronger at this point without the stimulus package than with it. All the original stimulus package did was pay back those Obama was indebted to and increase the national debt.
He can't point to the cash for clunkers program as being good. It created a shortage of good used vehicles, because most traded in were not actually clunkers, and it has driven up the price of used cars. On less expensive used vehicles it has driven prices up 10% and more and on high end vehicles it has driven prices up as much as 36%. And remember, used cars are supposed to be the most affordable vehicles for the masses to buy.
He has lowered the position of the U.S. in the world. He has apologized for things that should never have been apologized for, some because his facts were wrong and others just because a nation never apologizes for doing them since they all do them. He had bowed to a King. He has proven himself weak and ineffective in foreign affairs. He has set back the Middle East peace process to the point where he may have killed it deader than disco.
He has created an economic limbo by not clarifying his true position or agenda resulting in businesses sitting on record amounts of operating capital. They will not hire or expand because they do not know if they will then end up in a trap of sorts and it cost them the shirt off their backs.
He has been trying to create and fight a class war by lying about what the wealthy pay in taxes compare to others. He claimed that its unfair for construction workers, teachers and nurses earning $50,000 a year to pay a higher tax rate than somebody pulling in $50 million, and that a quarter of all millionaires now pay lower tax rates than millions of middle-class households. He even said that some billionaires have a tax rate as low as 1 percent.But The Washington Postpointed out, of the top 400 wealthiest individuals in the U.S. in 2008 (the last year for which such data is available), most paid in excess of 35 percent in taxes and only 17 had a marginal rate of zero to 26 percent. Even The Post acknowledged that for this handful of individuals, there might well be reasonable explanations why they paid so little, including that they earned little or nothing that year.
The number of Independent voters, those responsible for Obama being elected, who support Obama has dropped dramatically. Obama cannot win without them. Recent polling figures have shown that even among Democrats the number of them who support Obama is dropping.
An AP/GfK poll taken two days ago found that a majority believes President Obama should not win reelection and his job approval stands at a new low, throwing into doubt his chances to earn reelection. More than half of those polled 52 percent said that President Obama should be voted out of office, a record high. Only 43 percent say he deserves a second term. Only 44 percent approve of the job Obama has done as president, with 54 percent disapproving.
In a A USA Today / Gallup poll taken four days ago of 12 likely swing states next year is rife with bad news for President Obamas reelection team. In this poll of registered voters in Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin, President Obama cannot crest the 45 percent mark. In this poll, facing former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, President Obama loses with 43 percent to 48 percent. If former House Speaker Newt Gingrich were the nominee, Obama again loses by 3 points with 45 to 48 percent.
Unless things greatly improve Obama's only way to campaign is to run the most heavy handed negative campaign in history and try to play on the fear of the unknown if a Republican wins.
He has no ammunition of his own to fight with. He has lost a tremendous amount of the support that put him into office. He has business against him. He has proven the worst fears of those who did not support him to be true, that he was/is unqualified for the position of president of the U.S., that he lacks, and still lacks, the experience and that he is a closet socialist attempting to duplicate the errors of European nations by using them as models for some of what he wants to do.
If he were half as intelligent as he thinks he is and that some claim him to be, and if he had any dignity, class and a set of balls rather than only having an ego, he would do like LBJ did (for all you little puppies here, LBJ stands for President Lyndon Baines Johnson. It's not Spanish slang for a blow job. We're not talking about Clinton here) and say he will not run for reelection and give his party some chance of being able to pick a candidate that might have a chance to win.
They come from the small guys on the bottom who's boss steals it and then their boss steals it and take credit while giving it to the politician.
