Trump is going to lose in November

Fogdog

Fogdog

Well-Known Member
chornyvolk said:
It's a repeat of what happened in 2016. Hillary had a 98% chance of winning according to Huff Po and 92% as per CNN. It's all a load of crap. The media and polls are all bullshit. Trump will trounce Biden. I'm voting Trump even if he croaks.
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lulz

Is that your way of understanding the world? "Because it happened in 2016, it will happen in 2020"

Just look at that last sentence. Lulz. Dumb ass.

Trump is going to lose this November. But don't let losing dominate you. The IRS will, so don't follow Trump's example.
 
blu3bird

blu3bird

Well-Known Member
chornyvolk said:
It's a repeat of what happened in 2016. Hillary had a 98% chance of winning according to Huff Po and 92% as per CNN. It's all a load of crap. The media and polls are all bullshit. Trump will trounce Biden. I'm voting Trump even if he croaks.
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Pound sand
 
Bublonichronic

Bublonichronic

Well-Known Member
rollitup said:
Well, he's certainly smart enough to know the difference between your and you're! :lol:


Unlike you.


:mrgreen:
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Well it’s a good thing you guys are good at grammar, cause I’m guessing in the real world your just a couple of snowflakes. Tell me you atleast acknowledge the fact Biden has zero chance of winning
 
rkymtnman

rkymtnman

Well-Known Member
Bublonichronic said:
Well it’s a good thing you guys are good at grammar, cause I’m guessing in the real world your just a couple of snowflakes. Tell me you atleast acknowledge the fact Biden has zero chance of winning
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the polls that your Mom are taking show a different winner in 2020 than who you think.
 
CunningCanuk

CunningCanuk

Well-Known Member
Bublonichronic said:
Well it’s a good thing you guys are good at grammar, cause I’m guessing in the real world your just a couple of snowflakes. Tell me you atleast acknowledge the fact Biden has zero chance of winning
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Not looking good, snowflake.

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

2020 Election Forecast

Latest forecast of the 2020 presidential election between President Donald Trump and Joe Biden by Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight
projects.fivethirtyeight.com projects.fivethirtyeight.com
 
Fogdog

Fogdog

Well-Known Member
It's been a bit more than a week since Trump interrupted everybody for an hour an a half during what was supposed to be a debate.

So, how did it go? Great for Biden:

Biden Got Some Of His Best Polls This Week

After Democrats’ great midterm election, the 2020 election could be a second consecutive Democratic wave. According to FiveThirtyEight’s forecasts, Joe Biden has an 84 in 100 chance of winning the presidential election, Democrats have a 68 in 100 chance of flipping the Senate and the party has a 94 in 100 chance of keeping the House.1 Altogether, there’s a 65 in 100 chance that Democrats will have full control of the federal government next year.

Democrats’ hopes — and Republicans’ fears — for another blue wave grew this week with the release of several polls that were among Biden’s best of the entire year. It’s hard to tell exactly why this is happening given all the news of the past couple weeks, but no matter how you slice it, it’s not good for President Trump. For instance, a national poll from CNN/SSRS gave Biden an eye-popping 16-point lead among likely voters. Monmouth University also gave Biden an 11-point lead in Pennsylvania in a high-turnout scenario and an 8-point lead in a low-turnout scenario. Quinnipiac University backed that up with its own Pennsylvania poll showing Biden up by 13 points, and added a Biden+11 Florida poll and a Biden+5 Iowa poll for good measure.
 
Fogdog

Fogdog

Well-Known Member
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Support not only held but went up for Biden after the debate. It might be a temporary bounce but no doubt that Trump's campaign is floundering and on the rocks. 538 (the site that did this modeling) is predicting 85% chance that Biden wins with 35% chance that he wins in a landslide (double digit margin).

Their forecast factors in uncertainty due to time. Anything CAN happen between now and Nov 3 but looking at the consistency in Biden's support, I think they are being careful to not be wrong rather than reporting their best estimate. 85% chance of Biden winning in 538's model has a somewhat arbitrary time-weighted fudge factor in there. More like Trump has no chance.

Trump is going to lose in November.
 
DIY-HP-LED

DIY-HP-LED

Well-Known Member
Barr Tells DOJ Lawyers About New Rule ALLOWING Interference in Upcoming Election. Yes, Really!

As a former career federal prosecutor, I always operated under a Department of Justice policy that demanded we must not do anything that could impact an election that was less than 60 days away. Bill Barr's DOJ just announced that they are granting an exception to this policy this time around, allowing prosecutors to announce investigations into possible election interference in advance of the election. This is a transparent attempt by Barr to nefariously help Trump get elected. Here's my take on why it will not work.
 
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