It's hard to get a straight story in the news. Case in point those MIG 29s from Poland. Yet, this seems to be something vague that could metastasize in the body Russia.
Interesting ad-lib. Rally the people of Europe. My experience is that they are not like the USA. The USA is an Island unto itself.
Like America they have history, it's more recent and it was nasty, both with Hitler and later with Stalin for those in the east. They have come to appreciate liberal democracy and know what it means as much as Americans. They thought they could live with the bear next door after we civilized him a bit, but now they all know how bad Vlad is. They also know how weak he is and that they can whip him conventionally by themselves, especially now that German has gone strong. Courage is contagious and so is hope, Vlad's blunders present great danger, but also great opportunity too and big changes in Europe are underway.
I believe the Ukrainians will whip the Russians and eject them from most of the country including the south with in a couple of months. Both the Russian army in Ukraine and the Russian economy will collapse by then, but they could hold areas in the east, there will be no peace while they are on Ukrainian territory. I believe the Ukrainians will do this the old fashioned way, by raising and training an army several times larger than the Russian forces available and I think we are seeing the first graduates of that army in action with the recent offensives. They will defeat Vlad's several small armies in succession, cutting them off and forcing surrender or destruction. Those forces that retreat towards the border and set up defensively will be held largely by reserves, while the army moves on to the next front.
Belarus could be the next domino to fall and is ripe for revolution or a coup, if they attack Ukraine it will be game over for the régime.