This IS your first election. LOL. Polls at this time are not reliable. Gore was way ahead in 2000, as was Kerry at this time. I admit I was disappointed at the end result but I never put as much faith in early season polls as you are now.
The other stuff about the DNC emails and -- "upcoming leaks" woo hoo -- are certainly going to hurt. I don't put much stock in this idea that it means Hillary "stole" the election but other people have to decide and I have no idea what they are going to do.
But really dude, cozying up to Russia has never been good politics in this country. You maybe can overlook Trump sucking Putin's dick but it's not great political strategy, not even for right wing nuts who live untroubled by facts. Trump is probably the worst presidential candidate ever nominated by a major party.
Where is the Democratic Party's convention poll number bump? Well the polls for that bump aren't available because -- wait for it -- THE CONVENTION ISN'T OVER! Ahhhhaahahhaaahaaaaahaaaaaa that comment of yours sure makes you appear stupid. Well maybe not appear, more like shows your stupidity.