that is what you are not accounting for.
iowa will weed out bachman, thank dog. it will also deal a blow to newt. but that leaves paul, santorum, perry, romney, and huntsman.
santorum and perry will be weeded out in NH. that leaves romney, gingrich, and paul. huntsman will place strongly in NH if santorum and perry do well in IA, which i believe they will. gingrich will also do poorly in NH but stick around.
that leaves romney, paul, huntsman, and a fading gingrich (if he is even still in).
south carolina does not matter. no predictions there from me yet.
in florida, romney wins, huntsman is respectable but defeated, ron paul is a distant third. i will admit that i was wrong about ron paul being in a tie for fifth, as i so often forecasted earlier.
nevada is pure romney. he sweeps it all up on super tuesday.
the real question is, who will mitt romney pick as his VP?
we may have to wait until super tuesday to rub it in, but it will be all the sweeter for the waiting.
it will be glorious when the 10% of ron paul supporters lose over and over again to the 50% or more of romney supporters. the temporary rise in ron paul's numbers is purely due to the weakness of the gop field.