War

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Biden running out of money source for Ukraine
The Biden administration has reached the end of its presidential drawdown authority funding, with about $100 million left, the Pentagon’s top spokesman said Monday.

Between President Biden’s Friday announcement of a $150 million assistance package to Ukraine and the remaining $100 million, the United States will be able to provide weapons and equipment to Ukraine until “about the third week of this month,” press secretary John Kirby told reporters.

“We’re going to be working that in real time with the Ukrainians, that will get us to about the third week of this month, is what we’re pretty much anticipating,” Kirby said.

Biden last week warned that the latest round of military assistance for Ukraine — a $150 million package to include artillery munitions, radars and other equipment — would nearly exhaust the military assistance that Congress has so far approved for the administration to deliver to Ukraine.

At the time, he pressed Congress to quickly approve the $33 billion the White House has asked for in additional security, economic and humanitarian assistance for Kyiv — about $5 billion of which would go to additional presidential drawdown authority funding.

Kirby on Monday echoed that thinking and said the administration continues “to urge Congress to pass the president’s supplemental request as soon as possible so that we can continue to provide aid to Ukraine uninterrupted.”

Kirby said the drawdown authority allows the United States to get weapons and equipment “off our shelves — we already own it, it’s already ours — and get it right to Ukraine.”

“We think with what we got left that’ll get us through most of this month and in terms of future packages and future material, but that’s why we’re urging Congress to act quickly,” he added.

Congress is drafting legislation to meet the administration’s request — which has bipartisan support — but the process of approving such a bill may be complicated due to a desire by some to link it to a separate administration ask for more COVID-19 pandemic assistance.
 

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French Foreign Minister admitted that the conflict in Ukraine could last several years
The Ukrainian conflict may continue for several years. This opinion was expressed on Monday by French Foreign Minister Jean-Yves Le Drian on the air of the BFM TV channel .

"The conflict will be long and complex," Le Drian said. "The hostilities could last several years." "As far as I know, Ukraine is not going to cede Donbass, so they will fight," the minister said.

At the same time, he believes that it is wrong to talk about the threat of "escalation associated with the use of nuclear weapons." "France is not a party to the conflict," the minister stressed. "We are not fighting on the side of Ukraine, we are supplying weapons and that's all," the head of French diplomacy added.

Explaining the reasons why neither he nor the head of the French state Emmanuel Macron visited Ukraine after the start of the conflict, Le Drian noted that the agenda for such a visit had not yet been formed. “They don’t go to Kyiv just to say hello to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky,” the French Foreign Minister noted. “Solidarity with Ukraine is more than just a trip to Kyiv.”

Le Drian stressed the importance of continuing the Russian-Ukrainian talks. At the same time, he noted that a ceasefire is necessary for the dialogue. "You can't have a conversation with a revolver at your head," he added.

The French minister also noted that at the moment the EU countries continue to work on agreeing on the sixth package of sanctions, which involves the imposition of an embargo on the import of Russian oil.
 

DIY-HP-LED

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French Foreign Minister admitted that the conflict in Ukraine could last several years
The Ukrainian conflict may continue for several years. This opinion was expressed on Monday by French Foreign Minister Jean-Yves Le Drian on the air of the BFM TV channel .

"The conflict will be long and complex," Le Drian said. "The hostilities could last several years." "As far as I know, Ukraine is not going to cede Donbass, so they will fight," the minister said.

At the same time, he believes that it is wrong to talk about the threat of "escalation associated with the use of nuclear weapons." "France is not a party to the conflict," the minister stressed. "We are not fighting on the side of Ukraine, we are supplying weapons and that's all," the head of French diplomacy added.

Explaining the reasons why neither he nor the head of the French state Emmanuel Macron visited Ukraine after the start of the conflict, Le Drian noted that the agenda for such a visit had not yet been formed. “They don’t go to Kyiv just to say hello to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky,” the French Foreign Minister noted. “Solidarity with Ukraine is more than just a trip to Kyiv.”

Le Drian stressed the importance of continuing the Russian-Ukrainian talks. At the same time, he noted that a ceasefire is necessary for the dialogue. "You can't have a conversation with a revolver at your head," he added.

The French minister also noted that at the moment the EU countries continue to work on agreeing on the sixth package of sanctions, which involves the imposition of an embargo on the import of Russian oil.
The fight might go on for years, but how much of it happens inside Ukraine after this summer remains to be seen. Trouble can break out in other places too, Vlad will no doubt have many fleas to scratch at the same time.

They are joined at the hip with Uncle Sam now and that includes domestic squabbles linking covid cash to highly popular aid for Ukraine. Joe is due to sign lend lease today and the Russians are getting nowhere and soaking up losses while their supply lines in the north are threatened with being cut off around Kharkiv. I hear Vlad took his troops from Syria for this and left in a hurry as they scramble for warm bodies to fill bags. No mobilization on Victory day cause he realized he only had junk to equip them and it will be over in Ukraine before he can raise any more forces, his army continues to be destroyed at an appalling rate that will accelerate dramatically soon I figure.

It should be sinking in that Uncle Sam was not kidding when he said the objective was to destroy his army and his ability to project power beyond his borders. The longer his army remains in Ukraine the more of it that will be destroyed or captured along with it's equipment. He has 85% of his total combat power on the table now is down 25% by some credible estimates, the all out effort is failing.
 

printer

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The fight might go on for years, but how much of it happens inside Ukraine after this summer remains to be seen. Trouble can break out in other places too, Vlad will no doubt have many fleas to scratch at the same time.

They are joined at the hip with Uncle Sam now and that includes domestic squabbles linking covid cash to highly popular aid for Ukraine. Joe is due to sign lend lease today and the Russians are getting nowhere and soaking up losses while their supply lines in the north are threatened with being cut off around Kharkiv. I hear Vlad took his troops from Syria for this and left in a hurry as they scramble for warm bodies to fill bags. No mobilization on Victory day cause he realized he only had junk to equip them and it will be over in Ukraine before he can raise any more forces, his army continues to be destroyed at an appalling rate that will accelerate dramatically soon I figure.

It should be sinking in that Uncle Sam was not kidding when he said the objective was to destroy his army and his ability to project power beyond his borders. The longer his army remains in Ukraine the more of it that will be destroyed or captured along with it's equipment. He has 85% of his total combat power on the table now is down 25% by some credible estimates, the all out effort is failing.
All in all it will not be a short war. Nether side wants to give up teritory they think is theirs. How could Ukraine push out the Russian troops? This would mean the Russians retreating into Russia and Ukraine firing on Russia. Once the war moves into Russia Putin's words will come true and he will tell the country they are fighting for Russia's survival. Russia may not prevail on an equal footing but the population of Russia is much greater than Ukrain and they will keep sending warm bodies to fight as they did in WWII.

So you see Ukraine winning back all its territories and the Russians suing for peace?
 

DIY-HP-LED

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All in all it will not be a short war. Nether side wants to give up teritory they think is theirs. How could Ukraine push out the Russian troops? This would mean the Russians retreating into Russia and Ukraine firing on Russia. Once the war moves into Russia Putin's words will come true and he will tell the country they are fighting for Russia's survival. Russia may not prevail on an equal footing but the population of Russia is much greater than Ukrain and they will keep sending warm bodies to fight as they did in WWII.

So you see Ukraine winning back all its territories and the Russians suing for peace?
I don't see peace while Putin is around whatever happens in Ukraine. I think they will push them to the borders, most don't have roads and roads is where they will be. Yes they will fire at military targets in Russia from inside Ukraine and if columns of retreating Russians are in range of the new weapons they will be destroyed. Fomenting unrest and revolution in Belarus is the best defense for Ukraine, Georgia too, if they form an alliance with them in the future. Unite all former soviet states in a defensive alliance surrounding the fucker with stores of NATO weapons in warehouses for them. There are many possibilities aside from trouble in the east and massive forest fires in Siberia, war is Hell (for the planet too). Peace will be even tougher for him because then others would form bilateral defense agreements with Ukraine, in a year they will be the major conventional military power in the region, not Russia by a long shot. The best defense in this case is a good offense, set the agenda for the fucker, not the other way around, make him react.
 

DIY-HP-LED

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So you see Ukraine winning back all its territories and the Russians suing for peace?
We will see what the technological advantage in motivated hands can do, it is an experiment of sorts for the military, a theory about long range mobile artillery, coupled with modern counter battery radars and drones, along with precision weapons. Will they have the same effect with defensive positions as the tank did in WW1? We will see soon enough, as this stuff is deployed. Destroy enough of a fighting force and it become ineffective and that point is lower with poor morale. Many armies collapse break and run, particularly if communications is bad, the leadership wiped out and morale is low, the Russians have all the ingredients.

I figure those ghost killer drones they special ordered were for officers and other high value targets, they are for the command and control I figure, the loiter time is a give away, gives them time to locate them on the move and they need to move or die. However if a drone sees only one vehicle in a unit moving around a lot, it will be suspect.
 

printer

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I don't see peace while Putin is around whatever happens in Ukraine. I think they will push them to the borders, most don't have roads and roads is where they will be. Yes they will fire at military targets in Russia from inside Ukraine and if columns of retreating Russians are in range of the new weapons they will be destroyed. Fomenting unrest and revolution in Belarus is the best defense for Ukraine, Georgia too, if they form an alliance with them in the future. Unite all former soviet states in a defensive alliance surrounding the fucker with stores of NATO weapons in warehouses for them. There are many possibilities aside from trouble in the east and massive forest fires in Siberia, war is Hell (for the planet too). Peace will be even tougher for him because then others would form bilateral defense agreements with Ukraine, in a year they will be the major conventional military power in the region, not Russia by a long shot. The best defense in this case is a good offense, set the agenda for the fucker, not the other way around, make him react.
So ultimately the question of the war resides in Putin. If he is in power it most likely will be fought for some time. From all indications Putin is not going anywhere, especially since he is calling the special operation as necessary to save Russia.
 

DIY-HP-LED

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So ultimately the question of the war resides in Putin. If he is in power it most likely will be fought for some time. From all indications Putin is not going anywhere, especially since he is calling the special operation as necessary to save Russia.
Putin would love to have peace at this point, but he can't have his cake and eat it too, so peace is not really up to him unless he changes his mind and he appears to be fossilized in his beliefs and entrenched in power. Too bad, Vlad should realize that he did his best work while at peace, he's a spy, not a military man and appears to know little about the subject which is odd for a KGB guy, but in his day the GRU did military intelligence and the KGB political.

I saw one of those Russian propaganda shows and they were hotly debating the state of readiness of the reserves and how much time it would take etc. Months before he could even begin to have troops ready and nothing to equip them with except junk that would humiliate them when it shows up on videos. Even mobilization will cause big problems aside from resistance from those under 30. I dunno what Vlad will do and he doesn't either at this point, he got his ass in a real jam and his enemies, who are many, are pounding it.
 

DIY-HP-LED

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Not sure what they use for construction, but it might be fiberglass spayed on foam wings, amazingly light and strong, Burt Rutan used it a lot in his designs. It is probably composite construction and they use the same basic method for some RC model jets, even laminated foam has trouble at high speeds (for a drone). Still 300 kph is pretty good for a gloried lawn mower engine with that wing span.
 

DIY-HP-LED

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Stalin killed most of his the old fashioned way. He starved them to death.

An interesting story on NPR this morning about the NYT's man in Moscow at the time. A Stalin apologists. But who won the paper a Pulitzer. There is new talk about they should give it back. No time for links. Sorry.
During the war he was Uncle Joe. Churchill said that if Hitler in his madness chose to invade Hell, he would at least have something kind to say about the Devil in the commons.
 
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